Tuesday, March 6, 2012

3Jack Golf PGA Tour Rundown - Week 9

Rory McIlroy wins the Honda Classic and becomes the #1 ranked player in the world.



Here’s how my picks finished:

Kyle Stanley (30/1): Missed Cut
Justin Rose (35/1): t-5th
Y.E. Yang (40/1): t-30th
John Rollins (66/1): Missed Cut
Spencer Levin (66/1): t-21st

Value Pick: Alex Cejka (200/1): Did Not Play


Rory mostly won with his driving, putting and Safe Zone play. He’s currently ranked #1 in Putts Gained, but has a rather small sample size.

Here are my picks for Doral:

Dustin Johnson: 28/1
Matt Kuchar: 33/1
Keegan Bradley: 33/1
Adam Scott: 40/1
Justin Rose: 50/1

Value Pick: Charles Howell III: 100/1



This is the first week that Tiger has had enough shots to qualify statistically in some of the metrics. As you will see, he’s ranked 1st in Advanced Total Driving. In his last few years under Haney, he could not break the top-125 in Advanced Total Driving. While the sample size is still rather small, the performance still infers a tremendous turnaround in his driving:

14th in Driving Distance.
3rd in Driving Accuracy (72.1%)
23rd in Distance To Edge of Fairway

Whether his critics like him or not, Sean Foley has done a tremendous job in turning around Tiger’s swing. And as far as putting goes, Tiger is currently ranked 101st in Putts Gained after a good 3rd and 4th round of putting upped his Putts Gained ranking. However, Tiger is t-1st in Percentage of Putts Made from 3 to 5 feet. Historically, the best putters rank very well from 3 to 5 feet and golfers who improve from 3 to 5 feet tend to ‘get hot’ with the putter eventually.

In other words, I project Tiger to win soon and it wouldn’t surprise me if he flat out dominates the field. And that could even be in the Masters.

I will have my picks for Doral up tomorrow.


ADVANCED TOTAL DRIVING



1. Tiger Woods
2. Bubba Watson
3. John Senden
4. Roberto Castro
5. Hunter Mahan
6. Tom Gillis
7. Chad Campbell
8. Jeff Maggert
9. Heath Slocum
10. John Rollins


172. Tommy Biershenk
173. Nick O'Hern
174. Chad Collins
175. Steve Wheatcroft
176. Patrick Sheehan
177. Gavin Coles
178. Stephen Gangluff
179. Billy Hurley III
180. Derek Lamely
181. David Duval


PUTTS GAINED (VIA PGATOUR.COM)

1. Rory McIlroy
2. Martin Flores
3. Scott McCarron
4. Aaron Baddeley
5. Chris Riley
6. D.J. Trahan
7. Ben Crane
8. Johnson Wagner
9. Erik Compton
10. Phil Mickelson

173. Boo Weekley
174. Troy Kelly
175. Ricky Barnes
176. Heath Slocum
177. Justin Leonard
178. Greg Owen
179. Arjun Atwal
180. Scott Brown
181. Kyle Thompson
182. Chad Campbell


ADJUSTED SHORT GAME PLAY

1. Mark D. Anderson
2. Sean O'Hair
3. Kevin Kisner
4. Johnson Wagner
5. Nick O'Hern
6. Brandt Jobe
7. K.J. Choi
8. Cameron Tringale
9. Chris Couch
10. Troy Matteson

160. Heath Slocum
161. J.J. Henry
162. Bo Van Pelt
163. J.B. Holmes
164. Kris Blanks
165. Kyle Reifers
166. Gary Woodland
167. Chez Reavie
168. Billy Hurley III
169. Kyle Thompson


BIRDIE ZONE PLAY



1. Trevor Immelman
2. Jeff Maggert
3. Troy Kelly
4. Vaughn Taylor
5. Padraig Harrington
6. Ryuji Imada
7. Brendon de Jonge
8. Jason Dufner
9. Charlie Wi
10. Mathew Goggin

155. Kevin Sutherland
156. Ben Crane
157. Nick Watney
158. Aaron Baddeley
159. Jamie Lovemark
160. Chad Campbell
161. Ryan Moore
162. Jerry Kelly
163. Stephen Gangluff
164. Billy Hurley III


SAFE ZONE PLAY



1. Will Claxton
2. Jeff Maggert
3. Bo Van Pelt
4. Brian Gay
5. Trevor Immelman
6. Zach Johnson
7. Nick O'Hern
8. Marco Dawson
9. Mark Wilson
10. Robert Allenby

150. Derek Lamely
151. Stewart Cink
152. Robert Garrigus
153. Jeff Overton
154. Sean O'Hair
155. Charley Hoffman
156. Jamie Lovemark
157. J.B. Holmes
158. Mark D. Anderson
159. Briny Baird


DANGER ZONE PLAY



1. Lee Westwood
2. Nathan Green
3. Bubba Watson
4. Jim Furyk
5. Jonathan Byrd
6. Webb Simpson
7. Justin Rose
8. Ryo Ishikawa
9. Kyle Stanley
10. Gary Woodland

166. Stewart Cink
167. Joe Ogilvie
168. Ryuji Imada
169. Alexandre Rocha
170. Erik Compton
171. Ryan Moore
172. Jerry Kelly
173. Mark D. Anderson
174. Richard H. Lee
175. Chad Collins





3JACK

1 comment:

golfteej said...

Hey Rich,

Would you consider putting the actual yardage range in parentheses for each zone when you list your TOUR rankings each week? I know it's posted somewhere, but it would be nice to know exactly what you're measuring without having to fish through old posts.

Thanks, and keep up the great work!

Tom